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Number 3395 - Sun, May 10, 2009 - Ordibehesht 20 1388- Jamadi Al-Avval 15 1430

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Terrified Pakistanis Flee Swat Valley
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Pakistani residents load their belongings as they flee from the troubled Swat valley.
Pakistani jets screamed over a Taliban-controlled town Friday and bombed suspected militant positions as hundreds of thousands fled in terror and other trapped residents appealed for a pause in the fighting so they could escape.
A half a million people have either already left the Swat Valley and nearby districts or want to leave but can’t because of the fighting, Pakistani officials and the U.N. say, bringing the number of people likely to be displaced due to anti-militant offensives across Pakistan’s volatile northwest region to 1 million, AP reported.
Pakistan has launched at least a dozen operations in the region near the Afghan border in recent years, but most ended inconclusively and after widespread destruction and significant civilian deaths.
The mountainous region remains a haven for al-Qaida and Taliban militants, foreign governments say.
To end one of those protracted offensives, the government signed a peace accord in Swat that provided for Islamic law there. But it began unraveling last month when Swat Taliban fighters moved into Buner, a neighboring district just 60 miles from Islamabad.
Following strong US pressure, the Pakistani government launched its latest offensive, and the prime minister appealed for international assistance for the growing refugee crisis and vowed to defeat the militants.
Asking for Pakistanis to support the government and the army, Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani pledged Thursday night to “eliminate the elements who have destroyed the peace and calm of the nation and wanted to take Pakistan hostage at gunpoint.“
The military hailed signs of the public’s mood shifting against the Taliban.
The mayor of Mardan, the main district to the south of the fighting, said an estimated 250,000 people had fled in recent days and that more were on the move. Of those, 4,500 were staying in camps, while the rest were with relatives or rented accommodation, he said.
Pakistani officials have said up to 500,000 are expected to leave.
On Friday, the UN refugee agency said that the provincial government estimates that between 150,000 and 200,000 people have arrived in safer areas of North West Frontier Province in the last few days and another 300,000 are on the move or want to leave but can’t because of the fighting or curfews.
The exodus from Swat and other nearby districts adds to the more than 500,000 already displaced by fighting elsewhere in Pakistan’s volatile border region since August 2008, said Ron Redmond, spokesman for the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, in Geneva.
Government forces are fighting in three districts, stretching over some 400 square miles, but much of the fighting has been in the Swat Valley’s main city of Mingora, a militant hub that was home to around 360,000 people before the insurgency two years ago.
Tens of thousands of people remain trapped in Mingora. Some have said the Taliban are not allowing them to leave, perhaps because they want to use them as “human shields“ and make the army unwilling to use force.

Leader Sends Message to OCU
Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei in a message Saturday to the 26th annual meeting of the Union of Islamic Associations of Students-Office to Consolidate Unity (OCU) said “determination, dynamism and youthfulness“ is a key element in confronting foreign powers hostile to “freedom, independence and national dignity“.
Fars News Agency carried the full text of the message:
In the race between nations for achieving lofty ideals and also in the endeavors to get rid of natural constraints and whatever hindrances created by ill wishers in the way of freedom, independence as well as national dignity, determination, dynamism and youthfulness is of paramount importance.
You should enlarge and institutionalize your presence in these important scenes. Placing hope in God Almighty’s help and obeying the teachings of the Holy Qur’an and Sharia is the most important factor for your success. I pray for your success and may God Almighty bless you.

Iraqi Kurds Prepare
To Export Oil
Iraq’s autonomous Kurdish region will begin exporting crude oil for the first time on June 1, the regional government said.
Initial exports will start at 60,000 barrels a day from Tawke field and another 40,000 bpd from the Taq Taq field will follow later in June, Ashti Hawrami, the region’s natural resources minister, said in a statement late Friday.
“The revenue will be deposited to the federal Iraq account for the benefit of all Iraqi people,“ said Hawrami.
Exports from Tawke will link with the Iraq-Turkey main export pipeline at the border town of Fishkhabur, while crude from Taq Taq will be loaded in the regional capital Arbil before connecting with the Iraq-Turkey export pipeline.
Hawrami said the northern region aims to export 250,000 bpd from the two fields by the end of the year.
Turkey’s Genel Enerji and Addax Petroleum of Canada operate Taq Taq, while Tawke is developed by Norwegian oil firm DNO.
The announcement is likely to intensify bitter feuding dating back to 2007 between Baghdad’s Shiite-led central government and the Kurdish regional government over the sharing of the nation’s oil wealth.
Disagreement over oil rights have held up exploitation of much of Iraq’s massive reserves as well as long-delayed hydrocarbons legislation.
Iraq hopes to be able to pump six million barrels per day, up from its current stated output of around 2.2 million, within the next four to five years as new projects come online.
The conflict-ravaged country has the world’s third largest proven reserves of oil, with more than 115 billion barrels, behind only Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Improvement in Trade
With Muslim Nations
Iran’s trade with member-states of Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) in fiscal 2008-09 reached $27.7 billion, marking a 15.3 percent increase compared to the corresponding figure in 2007-08.
The level of trade exchange with Islamic states in 2007-08 amounted to $24.35 billion -- an increase of $3.7 billion in 2008-09, Mehr News Agency reported on Saturday quoting the Iran Customs Administration’s Public Relations Office.
In 2008-09 Iran exported some $9.5 billion worth of goods to OIC states while the same figure in 2007-08 stood at $8.46 billion. Goods exported by Iran included gaseous hydrocarbons, fresh/dried pistachio nuts, cathode parts derived from copper, ethylene, apples, carpets and motor oil. Iraq was the top buyer of Iranian products among Islamic states in the said period. The UAE, Afghanistan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, Syria, Indonesia, Pakistan and Turkmenistan came next.
In 2008-09 Iran imported some $18.2 billion worth of goods from the Muslim countries. Gasoline was the main import beside iron and steel ingots and rice.
147327.jpg OPEC May Curb Output
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147345.jpg Call for Unconditional
Resumption of NPT Talks
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147348.jpg Soviet World War II Victory Still Relevant
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147375.jpg Pas, Persepolis
Fight for Semis
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147402.jpg Anachronistic Concerns Dismissed
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Perspec
Pretty Familiar!
By Pir-Mohammad Mollazehi
Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani has ordered the army to attack the Swat Valley and take out the militants generally known as the local Taliban. Since that order was issued a day after the trilateral negotiations between President Barack Obama, Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari and Afghan President Hamid Karzai in Washington, it is widely believed that the ruling is closely linked to decisions made in the Obama White House.
Gilani’s comments in the televised speech were indisputably similar to those of former President Parvez Musharraf in 2001 when Islamabad was forced to stop supporting the Taliban in Afghanistan to save itself from military action by the US as threatened by the neo-con president George W. Bush.
Strangely Pakistan faces the same awkward and rather dangerous situation. Zardari who replaced the embattled Musharraf, encounters threats by Obama in the same way the general was subjected to by Bush and his crew. Zardari faces two scenarios.
One is that he wage a full-scale war against the the radical Taliban, al-Qaeda and tribes supporting them and achieve what the powerful US military could not! The second is that America, with or without the consent of Pakistan, passes the Dirvand border between Pakistan and Afghanistan and occupies the tribal belts. This is almost similar to the crises during Musharraf’s rule.
Then the Pakistan leadership had to pick and choose between a rock and a hard place. Today its has little choice but to tilt further toward the self-styled but diminishing superpower. America has promised generous aid to Pakistan if it takes care of the de-Talibanization project.
However, the truth is that the demands raised by the US from the ruling Pakistan peoples Party (PPP) are so weird that accepting it is political suicide and tantamount to Pakistan changing course in a more formidable manner than was seen in the Musharraf days. Entering or provoking a civil war in the troubled tribal regions is only one of the American demands.
Other demands such as ending hostility with India, not interfering in Afghan affairs and relenting to American control of its nuclear weapons would have serious consequences for the future of the Muslim country.
The grotesque but not unfamiliar US demands could well lead to the fall of any government that is at the helm in Pakistan.
Let us recall that Musharraf was also ousted from power, albeit with some delay, because of cooperating with Bush’s America against the Taliban and its al-Qaeda patron. This time also Obama is willing to sacrifice Pakistan and its interests to prevent the eventual defeat of the US and NATO in war-ravaged Afghanistan.
Civil war, even if it leads to the disintegration of Pakistan, is the price that Islamabad will have to pay. Hence, it is not a gargantuan task to predict what possibly lies ahead. Pakistan will be pushed into a dangerous and destructive conflict with the possibility of deepening the ethnic divide between the Pashtuns and Punjabis that will undermine its national interest but fulfill US demands. Of course, India and Afghanistan are also hopeful that they will benefit from the Pakistan Army’s conflict with radical Muslims in the conflict-plagued tribal regions. These two countries hope that at the end of the conflict a political system will emerge in Pakistan that would not create problems for its neighbors, would be free from an ideological-based military that considers Jihad in Kashmir against India as a religious duty, would not seek to rule Kabul as a strategic need to take on New Delhi...